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Global economy 'dangerously close' to a recession: World Bank_我的网站

一 |           　　本报8月24日讯 今天，市委常委会召开2026年调研成果交流会，深入学习贯彻习近平总书记关于调查研究的重要论述，按照市委常委会年度调查研究工作安排，在前期调研分析的基础上开展交流研讨，提出解决问题、推动工作的思路举措和方法路径，推动“十五五”开好局、起好步。    Washington, Oct 14 (UNI) The global economy is "dangerously close" to a recession, as inflation remains elevated, interest rates rise, and growing debt burden hits the developing world, World Bank President David Malpass said.



"We've lowered our 2023 growth forecast from 3 per cent to 1.9 per cent for the global growth, that's dangerously close to a world recession," Malpass on Thursday said at a press conference during the IMF and World Bank annual meetings.



"All of the problems that people have taken note of, the inflation problem, the interest rate rises, and the cutoff of capital flow to developing world hit the poor hard," he said, highlighting the buildup of debt for developing countries.



"That's a world recessions could happen under certain circumstances," Malpass said.



In a study published in mid-September, the World Bank warned that as central banks across the world simultaneously hike interest rates in response to inflation, the world may be edging toward a global recession in 2023, with a growth forecast of only 0.5 per cent.



The World Bank chief noted at the press conference that world population growth is estimated at 1.1 per cent per year. "So if you get much slower in terms of world growth, that means people are going backward," Malpass said in response to a question from Xinhua.



Citing a recent World Bank report, Malpass said that Covid-19 pandemic dealt the biggest setback to global poverty-reduction efforts since 1990, pushing about 70 million people into extreme poverty in 2020, and the war in Ukraine threatens to make matters worse.



According to the Poverty and Shared Prosperity Report, global median income declined by 4 per cent in 2020, the first decline since its measurements of median income began in 1990.



"So if we have a world recession now, that would also depress median income, meaning that the people in the lower half of the income scale are going down," Malpass said.



The World Bank chief also noted that he has been concerned about the concentration of capital in the world in the top end of the advanced economies.



"So that's, I think, one of the issues that the world has to deal with to allow capital to flow to new businesses and to developing countries, that would take a change in the direction of fiscal and monetary policies in the advanced economies," said Malpass.



The world is facing very challenging environment from the advanced economies, and that has serious implications, dangers for the developing countries, he said. "My deep concern is that these conditions and trends might persist into 2023 and 2024."

UNI/XINHUA PRT。      　　市委书记刘强主持会议并讲话，市委副书记、市长于海田，市政协主席孙开连和市委常委出席。会上，市委常委同志围绕各自调研主题进行了交流发言。     　　交流研讨结束后，刘强作了总结讲话。他强调，今年以来，市委常委同志紧扣“十五五”规划目标和强省会建设重点任务，下沉一线、领题调研，深刻剖析问题、提出对策建议，形成了一批高质量的调研成果。

二 | 要按照党中央决策部署和省委工作要求、市委工作安排，把调研思路建议同“十五五”重点工作任务结合起来，解决好调研中发现的问题，以项目化清单化工程化方式推进落实。要建立调研成果转化运用常态长效机制，加强督查督办和跟踪问效，健全调研成果转化评价机制，推动更多调研成果转化为发展成果、惠及人民群众，为加快建设强省会贡献力量。

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